Regional markets consistently outperform capitals

Corelogic’s home value index shows that capital city home values fell 0.2% in March while regional property values rose 0.4%.

By Jade Young

30-04-2018 |
Corelogic’s home value index shows that capital city home values fell 0.2% in March while regional property values rose 0.4%.

Trends across the March quarter showed capital city home values were 0.9% lower over the March quarter, yet values across regional markets tracked 1.1% higher.

Regions outperform capital cities!

Stronger combined regional market performance continues the trend that began emerging in October last year, where regional housing markets showed an overall improvement in the pace of capital gains while the combined capitals trend softened.

Six of eight capitals recorded falls!

Six of the eight capital cities recorded a fall in values over the first quarter of 2018, ranging from a 1.8% drop in Sydney values to a 0.1% fall in Darwin.

The broad-based falls highlight that the softening trend in the Australian housing market is largely due to weaker conditions in Sydney, however, most other capitals are also recording subtle falls. Dwelling values were steady over the quarter in Brisbane and have continued their strong run of growth across Hobart, which was up +3.4%.

Units performing better than houses !

The March home value indices results also confirm that the unit sector is now consistently outperforming the detached housing market - a trend which has been evident since mid-2017. The stronger performance is subtle at the combined capitals level: capital city house values were down 1% over the March quarter while unit values were down a more moderate 0.7%.

More significant differences between houses and units can be seen in Sydney and Melbourne where housing affordability pressures are more evident relative to other cities. Sydney unit values are up 1.9% over the past twelve months, while house values are down 3.8%. Similarly in Melbourne, unit values are 6.6% higher over the past twelve months while house values are up just 4.9%.

The stronger performance from the unit sector may suggest that buyer demand is becoming more concentrated in the medium to high density sector where entry prices are lower and commuting times are often more convenient when compared with the detached housing markets around the outer fringes of the city.

Monthly change in capital city values!

Darwin and Canberra join Hobart as the capital cities to see a lift in values in the past two months.

•Hobart (^ 1.7%)
•Adelaide ( - 0.3%)
•Darwin (^ 1%)
•Sydney (- 0.3%)
•Melbourne (- 0.2%)
•Brisbane (- 0.1%)
•Perth (- 0.3%)
•Canberra (^ 0.2%)

Houses perform better regionally!

Outside of Sydney and Melbourne, houses in capital cities outperformed the unit market. Tasmania remains the strongest performing regional area nationally.